Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSW | ALT

The San Antonio Spurs visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Spurs vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 33-42 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 35-40 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 81 games (+22.07 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 18 games (+15.80 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 36 games at home (+20.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 33-42 (-13.2 Units / -15.99% ROI).

  • 31-44 against the Moneyline (-10.85 Units / -10.5% ROI)
  • 43-31 against the Over for game total points (+8.9 Units / 10.79% ROI)
  • 31-43 against the Under for game total points (-16.3 Units / -19.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 35-40 (-9 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 47-29 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 0.81% ROI)
  • 46-30 against the Over for game total points (+13 Units / 15.55% ROI)
  • 30-46 against the Under for game total points (-20.6 Units / -24.64% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 74 games (-31.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 91 games (-24.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 95 games (-22.10 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-19.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.08 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.32 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 70 games (-17.21 Units / -22% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 6-45 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA.

The Spurs are 3-20 (.130) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA.

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nuggets are 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .614

The Nuggets are 22-7 (.759) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have forced 13.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 72-11 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 43-18 (.705) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-highest in the NBA.

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs have averaged 12.9 second chance points per game (969 points/75 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Spurs have averaged 28.9 assists per game (2,166 assists/75 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,432 points/76 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

The Nuggets have averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (852 points/76 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,538 points/76 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (284 assists/ 109 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,617 rebounds/75 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Spurs have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (429 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs blocked 520 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,795 rebounds/76 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,201 steals/158 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (831 blocks/158 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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