Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -13.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 27-31 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 30-26 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+12.5 -110O 223.5 -110+550
Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 -110U 223.5 -110-800

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 93.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 73 games (+15.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 73 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+17.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 27-31 (-7 Units / -10.99% ROI).

  • 11-47 against the Moneyline (-27.5 Units / -45.12% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Over for game total points (-2.85 Units / -4.46% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -4.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-26 (+1.35 Units / 2.14% ROI).

  • 40-17 against the Moneyline (+5 Units / 2.98% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.81% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.65 Units / -1.04% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-29.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (-21.00 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 51 games (-15.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games (-14.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 53 games (-32.80 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-20.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-19.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 52 games (-18.65 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.35 Units / -20% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 4-25 (.138) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Spurs are 2-17 (.105) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 25-3 (.893) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Timberwolves are 31-14 (.689) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Timberwolves are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. SpursTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 27

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (670/1,965) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.35 points per shot (6,019 points/4,465 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves are shooting 40% from three (363/918) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.