Suns vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -0.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Phoenix Suns visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 13-23 against the spread, while the Lakers are 17-22 against the spread.


Bet now on Lakers vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
Los Angeles Lakers U

Lakers vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Suns and Lakers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Lakers vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.


Bet now on Lakers vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 75 games (+24.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+15.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 97 games (+20.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 60 of their last 97 games (+18.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 43 games at home (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 13-23 (-12.45 Units / -30.44% ROI).

  • 19-18 against the Moneyline (-11.65 Units / -13.14% ROI)
  • 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.35% ROI)
  • 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 17-22 (-7.35 Units / -17.05% ROI).

  • 20-19 against the Moneyline (-2.9 Units / -4.12% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Under for game total points (-3.05 Units / -7.1% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 94 games (-34.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 94 games (-29.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 91 games (-24.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 75 games (-32.90 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 64 games (-29.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-28.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 64 games (-23.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.15 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns are 40-26 (.606) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Lakers are 6-12 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .377

The Lakers are 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .681

The Lakers are 4-1 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Injury Report: Lakers vs. SunsThursday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Heel, Game Time Decision
  • Anthony Davis (Los Angeles Lakers): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Back, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have a 31% free throw rate (968 free throw attempts/3,166 field goal attempts) this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Suns have an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns are shooting 41% (192/470) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (374 points/38 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 second chance points per game (163 points/38 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 230 shots this season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 662 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th most among NBA teams

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,537 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have 294 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams


Bet now on Lakers vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.