Suns vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

Phoenix Suns logo on the left and Denver Nuggets logo on the right
  • The Nuggets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ALT | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Nuggets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 29-41 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 33-37 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+7.5 -115O 227.5 -105+225
Denver Nuggets -7.5 -105U 227.5 -115-275

Nuggets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 73.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+15.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 93 games (+28.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+19.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 85 games (+13.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 29-41 (-16.1 Units / -20.33% ROI).

  • 42-30 against the Moneyline (-9.6 Units / -5.16% ROI)
  • 32-39 against the Over for game total points (-10.95 Units / -13.82% ROI)
  • 39-32 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 4.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 33-37 (-7.7 Units / -9.72% ROI).

  • 51-21 against the Moneyline (+17 Units / 6.64% ROI)
  • 29-41 against the Over for game total points (-16.1 Units / -20.32% ROI)
  • 41-29 against the Under for game total points (+9.15 Units / 11.56% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-33.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-25.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-22.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 100 games (-14.90 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 85 games (-14.75 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 90 games (-42.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-23.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 52 games (-18.35 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Suns are 26-5 (.839) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Suns are 15-4 (.789) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 25-7 (.781) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game this season — T-5th-highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 10-2 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602

The Nuggets are 25-5 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. SunsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,066 assists/ 557 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns averaged 5.1 fast break points per game (422 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Suns have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (859 points/154 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,109 assists/ 908 TOs) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,628 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 439 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (509 steals/72 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.6

The Nuggets allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Nuggets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (394 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Nuggets vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.