- The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | KTVK | AZFS | NSBA
The Phoenix Suns visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Suns vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 9-20 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-14 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Warriors.
Warriors vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.2% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+8.22 Units / 72% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 81 games (+14.38 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.92 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 9-20 (-13 Units / -39.39% ROI).
- 15-15 against the Moneyline (-5.35 Units / -8.93% ROI)
- 16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
- 14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-14 (+0.5 Units / 1.51% ROI).
- 15-15 against the Moneyline (-9.9 Units / -16.3% ROI)
- 13-17 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
- 17-13 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-29.30 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 67 games (-19.20 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 64 games (-31.12 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.26 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-23.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-20.60 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 33 games (-19.16 Units / -45% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Suns are 1-7 (.125) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Suns were 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Suns are 22-8 (.733) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579
The Suns are 20-14 (.588) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .464
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 23-24 (.489) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Warriors are 4-2 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Suns have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (2,303 points/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Suns shot 49% (3,482/7,063) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (811 assists/ 423 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (443/626) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors have a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Warriors are shooting 41% (174/419) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,051 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,105 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (535 blocks/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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