Suns vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 4:33 PM
  • The Suns are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Phoenix Suns visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 21-29 against the spread, while the Warriors are 25-23 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-1.5 -115O 242.5 -110-135
Golden State Warriors +1.5 -105U 242.5 -110+110

Warriors vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Warriors.

Warriors vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 81 games (+30.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 63 games (+24.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 88 games (+23.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 82 games (+22.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 away games (+17.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 21-29 (-11.1 Units / -19.3% ROI).

  • 31-21 against the Moneyline (-4 Units / -3.22% ROI)
  • 26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-23 (-0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI).

  • 24-25 against the Moneyline (-5.6 Units / -6.04% ROI)
  • 28-21 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 9.1% ROI)
  • 21-28 against the Under for game total points (-9.85 Units / -18.26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 89 games (-25.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-22.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games (-18.50 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 81 games (-39.50 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 79 games (-38.05 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-35.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-34.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Suns are 15-4 (.789) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — T-2nd-best in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game this season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

The Suns were 28-17 (.622) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 14-20 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Injury Report: Warriors vs. SunsSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 10

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Hamstring, Out
  • Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Bol Bol (Phoenix Suns): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,110 points/4,451 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Suns have averaged 13.1 second chance points per game (681 points/52 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Suns have averaged 15.8 offensive rebounds per game (820 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.5

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,855 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (308 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (740 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/49 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (528 blocks/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.