Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 10, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (20-20) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Suns (20-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 10, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Phoenix Suns visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Warriors Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 20-21 against the spread, while the Warriors are 18-21 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+11.5 -105O 230.5 -110+500
Golden State Warriors -11.5 -115U 230.5 -110-700

Warriors vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 74.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 97 games (+15.96 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.59 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.93 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.13 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+17.76 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games at home (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+14.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 20-21 (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI).

  • 20-21 against the Moneyline (-17.8 Units / -17.83% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -13.75% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 4.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-21 (-5.1 Units / -11.59% ROI).

  • 20-20 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -18.25% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 93 games (-29.81 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-28.87 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (-22.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-21.39 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 99 games (-20.65 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (-43.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (-26.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 67 games (-23.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.01 Units / -20% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. SunsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 10

  • Klay Thompson (Warriors): Thompson is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Phoenix.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): Wiseman is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Phoenix.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Phoenix.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 18 against Toronto. No timetable for his return has been announced.
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): Kuminga is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Phoenix.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Phoenix.
  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
  • Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
  • Devin Booker (Suns): The Suns announced that Booker has a left groin strain and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
  • Deandre Ayton (Suns): Ayton is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
  • Chris Paul (Suns): Paul is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.
  • Torrey Craig (Suns): Craig is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Golden State.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.