Suns vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | MNMT | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Washington, DC.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Wizards Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 18-29 against the spread, while the Wizards are 22-25 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-11.5 -105O 240.5 -115-600
Washington Wizards +11.5 -115U 240.5 -105+425

Wizards vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Suns and Wizards, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Wizards vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 61 of their last 87 games (+32.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 86 games (+24.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 60 games (+21.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 away games (+16.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 18-29 (-14.1 Units / -26.01% ROI).

  • 28-21 against the Moneyline (-7 Units / -6.09% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 22-25 (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI).

  • 9-39 against the Moneyline (-25.95 Units / -52.06% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.59% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 68 games (-32.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 53 games (-20.60 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-17.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 87 games (-41.95 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 76 games (-36.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-35.20 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 76 games (-32.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-22.80 Units / -27% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .087

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Wizards are 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 4-28 (.125) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Wizards were 3-10 (.231) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Wizards vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Bol Bol (Phoenix Suns): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (266 points/49 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (630 assists/ 379 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (145 assists/ 117 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (447 points/48 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6

The Wizards have averaged 29.5 points in the paint per game (1,414 points/48 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

The Wizards have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (543 points/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 7.1 steals per game (350 steals/49 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Suns have blocked 290 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (362 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (823 points/48 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards have allowed 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (491 rebounds/48 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.5

The Wizards have allowed 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (918 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.6

The Wizards averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,956 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.