Thunder vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | NBSB

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 38-24 against the spread, while the Celtics are 29-35 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Boston Celtics U

Celtics vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Celtics.

Celtics vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+17.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 93 games (+16.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 71 games (+22.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 73 of their last 100 games (+15.32 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 38-24 (+11.6 Units / 15.98% ROI).

  • 53-13 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 2.71% ROI)
  • 37-28 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.54% ROI)
  • 28-37 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 29-35 (-9.5 Units / -13.29% ROI).

  • 47-18 against the Moneyline (-33.85 Units / -9.43% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.83% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 5.73% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 100 games (-56.94 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 95 games (-48.45 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 100 games (-40.55 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 94 games (-34.83 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 47 games (-21.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.97 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 38 games (-17.60 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.55 Units / -16% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Thunder are 57-9 (.864) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586

The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Thunder are 11-2 (.846) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Celtics are 29-6 (.829) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Celtics are 24-7 (.774) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Celtics were 34-8 (.810) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Celtics were 55-16 (.775) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,744 assists/ 765 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Thunder are shooting 83% from the free throw line (2,522/3,053) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (693 steals/65 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (713 steals/75 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,387 steals/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (8,147 points/6,879 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.