- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDOK | FDSM | KWTV
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 30-18 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 34-17 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
| Memphis Grizzlies | U |
Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 66.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 91 games (+19.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+17.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 65 games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 away games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 66 games (+22.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+20.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+15.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 30-18 (+10.2 Units / 18.18% ROI).
- 41-10 against the Moneyline (+12 Units / 4.36% ROI)
- 28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.77% ROI)
- 22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -15.69% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 34-17 (+15.3 Units / 27.32% ROI).
- 35-16 against the Moneyline (+12.85 Units / 11.29% ROI)
- 33-18 against the Over for game total points (+13.2 Units / 23.53% ROI)
- 18-33 against the Under for game total points (-18.3 Units / -32.62% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 66 games (-32.57 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.45 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 games at home (-18.22 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 44 games at home (-16.80 Units / -33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games (-15.25 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 67 games (-14.20 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 91 games (-14.03 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-14.03 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 23 games (-13.70 Units / -54% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439
The Thunder are 20-3 (.870) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Thunder are 28-6 (.824) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-2nd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 115.4 points per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.
The Thunder are 26-9 (.743) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
The Grizzlies are 9-34 (.209) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA.
The Grizzlies were 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Grizzlies are 16-2 (.889) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .714
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have 19.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies are shooting 28% from three (47/168) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (556 steals/50 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,250 steals/132 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have allowed 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (999 rebounds/51 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.0
The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Grizzlies have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/51 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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