Thunder vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -3.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Jazz Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 26-13 against the spread, while the Jazz are 26-16 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-3.5 -110O 244.5 -115-160
Utah Jazz +3.5 -110U 244.5 -105+135

Jazz vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Jazz, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Jazz vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 77 games (+21.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+22.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+18.50 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 26-13 (+11.7 Units / 26.65% ROI).

  • 27-13 against the Moneyline (+13.6 Units / 15.5% ROI)
  • 23-16 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 12.27% ROI)
  • 16-23 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -21.14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 26-16 (+8.4 Units / 18.2% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (+11.35 Units / 22.7% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -11.16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-26.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 61 games (-17.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-16.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-15.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 77 games (-31.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-14.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-14.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 80 games (-12.45 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Thunder are 7-3 (.700) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 2-5 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Thunder are 26-7 (.788) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 118.2 points per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are 4-5 (.444) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Jazz were 16-18 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Jazz are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .086

The Jazz are undefeated (10-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .826

Injury Report: Jazz vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Jan. 18

  • Lauri Markkanen (Utah Jazz): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Kelly Olynyk (Utah Jazz): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Jordan Clarkson (Utah Jazz): Thigh, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (279/664) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/40 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 16.1 turnovers per game (678 turnovers/42 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Jazz have averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (337 turnovers/42 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,176 assists/ 678 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.8 offensive rebounds per game (791 rebounds/40 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.8

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,136 rebounds/122 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder allowed 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (782 rebounds/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 19.1 fast break points per game (1,203 points/63 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have allowed 16.7 fast break points per game (2,065 points/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz blocked 429 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Jazz allowed 16.8 fast break points per game (1,377 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.