- The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 56-29 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 42-47 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -5.5 -115 | O 232.5 -110 | -250 |
| Denver Nuggets | +5.5 -105 | U 232.5 -110 | +200 |
Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 90 games (+25.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 74 games (+21.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+15.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 28 games (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 43 games at home (+21.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 56-29 (+24.1 Units / 24.62% ROI).
- 73-16 against the Moneyline (+19.65 Units / 3.93% ROI)
- 49-39 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 6.23% ROI)
- 39-49 against the Under for game total points (-14.9 Units / -15.22% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-47 (-9.7 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 55-36 against the Moneyline (+5.2 Units / 2.02% ROI)
- 54-37 against the Over for game total points (+13.3 Units / 13.29% ROI)
- 37-54 against the Under for game total points (-22.4 Units / -22.38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-30.85 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.02 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 93 games (-24.20 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.08 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 70 games (-26.10 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.48 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 61 games (-19.80 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Thunder are 57-10 (.851) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Thunder are 81-11 (.880) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets are 44-16 (.733) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Nuggets are 45-29 (.608) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Nuggets are 39-14 (.736) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (2,000 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Nuggets have made 11.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,977 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (859 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets have blocked 859 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
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