Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 12:00 PM
  • The Nuggets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 2-2 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 0-5 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+2.5 -115O 226.5 -105+110
Denver Nuggets -2.5 -105U 226.5 -115-135

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 86 games (+16.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 92 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+14.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+11.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 94 games (+10.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Thunder have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 41.38% ROI)
  • 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
  • 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Nuggets have gone 0-5 (-5.48 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-4 against the Moneyline (-4.5 Units / -54.55% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 94 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 65 games (-17.30 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 92 games (-17.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-17.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 62 games (-15.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 68 games (-13.70 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder were 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Thunder are 14-7 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have forced 12.9 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game last season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 27-6 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Oct. 24

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (1,090/2,805) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,466 rebounds/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (419 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.