Thunder vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 26

  • The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDOK | FDIN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Pacers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 17-10 against the spread, while the Pacers are 12-16 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-5.5 -110O 227.5 -110-225
Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110U 227.5 -110+180

Pacers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pacers.

Pacers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 74 games (+14.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+20.49 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 64 games (+8.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 17-10 (+6 Units / 18.81% ROI).

  • 23-6 against the Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 5.33% ROI)
  • 12-17 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI)
  • 17-12 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 12-16 (-5.6 Units / -16.97% ROI).

  • 15-15 against the Moneyline (-8.25 Units / -13.69% ROI)
  • 16-12 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 8.48% ROI)
  • 12-16 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -16.97% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 98 games (-34.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 97 games (-28.52 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 99 games (-20.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-18.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-17.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.88 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 94 games (-17.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 85 games (-16.20 Units / -16% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Thunder are 11-1 (.917) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder were 14-3 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Thunder were 39-6 (.867) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers are 32-11 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.8 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 29-14 (.674) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Pacers are 4-14 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (1,090/2,805) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.2 steals per game (342 steals/28 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,036 steals/110 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Thunder have 342 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (569 blocks/96 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,807 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4


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