Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | BSNO | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 47-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 45-39 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+ +O Not Found ++
New Orleans Pelicans + +U Not Found ++

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 78 games (+18.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 away games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 82 games (+25.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+20.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 47-36 (+7.4 Units / 8.01% ROI).

  • 59-25 against the Moneyline (+18.35 Units / 6.29% ROI)
  • 44-36 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 4.76% ROI)
  • 36-44 against the Under for game total points (-12.3 Units / -13.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 45-39 (+2.1 Units / 2.22% ROI).

  • 50-36 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 0.82% ROI)
  • 37-49 against the Over for game total points (-16.9 Units / -17.86% ROI)
  • 49-37 against the Under for game total points (+8.3 Units / 8.77% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-24.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games at home (-18.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-17.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-17.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-13.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 32 away games (-13.00 Units / -36% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Thunder are 20-6 (.769) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Thunder are 21-5 (.808) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Thunder are 18-7 (.720) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pelicans were 14-20 (.412) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pelicans are 26-5 (.839) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, Apr. 27

  • Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (1,023/2,673) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pelicans averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (2,000 free throw attempts/7,181 field goal attempts) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have blocked 538 shots this season — tied for most among NBA teams

The Thunder have allowed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,466 rebounds/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,045/3,130) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.