Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 29

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSNO | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 48-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 45-40 against the spread.


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-4.5 -115O 208.5 -110-200
New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -105U 208.5 -110+165

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 79 games (+19.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 85 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games (+23.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 48-36 (+8.4 Units / 8.98% ROI).

  • 60-25 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 6.6% ROI)
  • 44-37 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 3.53% ROI)
  • 37-44 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -12.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 45-40 (+1 Units / 1.04% ROI).

  • 50-37 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • 37-50 against the Over for game total points (-18 Units / -18.81% ROI)
  • 50-37 against the Under for game total points (+9.3 Units / 9.72% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-25.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-16.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 85 games (-16.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 61 games (-14.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-12.90 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Thunder are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans were 14-22 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pelicans are 26-5 (.839) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .672

The Pelicans are 28-14 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderMonday‘s Game, Apr. 29

  • Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder are shooting 50% (436/868) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (1,023/2,673) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (532/1,339) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,954 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,045/3,130) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.