Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

  • The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 40-29 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 39-30 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 +100O 223.5 -115-115
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -120U 223.5 -105-105

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 74 games (+15.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 74 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 73 games (+34.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games (+18.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 10.52% ROI).

  • 49-21 against the Moneyline (+13.15 Units / 5.71% ROI)
  • 35-31 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.17% ROI)
  • 31-35 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -9.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 39-30 (+6 Units / 7.68% ROI).

  • 44-27 against the Moneyline (+9.85 Units / 5.94% ROI)
  • 30-41 against the Over for game total points (-15.1 Units / -19.33% ROI)
  • 41-30 against the Under for game total points (+8 Units / 10.24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-16.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 34 games at home (-13.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-13.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 67 games (-16.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 46 games (-14.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (-12.25 Units / -26% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are winless (0-7) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .150

The Thunder are 20-1 (.952) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .641

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 30-9 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.8 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Pelicans are 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .684

The Pelicans are 20-3 (.870) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 second chance points per game (374 points/35 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,399/1,684) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (475/1,188) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (8,217 points/6,216 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (872/2,293) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.5 second chance points per game (1,026 points/71 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (464 blocks/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (2,764 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have forced 16.3 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/35 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (958/2,922) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (471/1,431) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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