Thunder vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

  • The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | SNET

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Raptors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 12-9 against the spread, while the Raptors are 15-7 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Toronto Raptors U

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Raptors.

Raptors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 93 games (+12.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 91 games (+12.44 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+10.46 Units / 50% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 12-9 (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 16-5 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 2.13% ROI)
  • 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 15-7 (+7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI).

  • 7-15 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -10.41% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 84 games (-29.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-17.11 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 26 games at home (-14.80 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 24 games at home (-12.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-18.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.83 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-16.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 77 games (-13.55 Units / -15% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Thunder are 17-3 (.850) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Thunder are 33-8 (.805) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Thunder are 48-27 (.640) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Thunder were 20-6 (.769) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors are 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 10-43 (.189) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.2 (51 assists/ 16 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (243 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,390 points/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,599 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (1,828 points/92 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 steals per game (250 steals/21 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have 250 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (944 steals/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,164 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have 1,576 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.