Thunder vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on KSBI | TSN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Raptors Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 39-28 against the spread, while the Raptors are 30-38 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-16.5 -110O 230.5 -115-1600
Toronto Raptors +16.5 -110U 230.5 -105+900

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 95.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Raptors.

Raptors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 72 games (+15.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-28 (+8.2 Units / 10.96% ROI).

  • 48-20 against the Moneyline (+13.15 Units / 6.1% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.14% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -12.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 30-38 (-11.8 Units / -15.55% ROI).

  • 23-46 against the Moneyline (-28.05 Units / -28.22% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 73 games (-31.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 74 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 64 games (-20.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games (-18.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games (-14.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 44 games (-13.95 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

Keys to the game – away

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have made 13.4 three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were undefeated (9-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Raptors are 11-20 (.355) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game this season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Raptors vs. ThunderFriday‘s Game, Mar. 22

  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (464/1,150) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (340 points/33 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.4 fast break points per game (1,527 points/75 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (2,788 points/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Raptors have averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (1,327 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 21.6 fast break points per game (733 points/34 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,370 rebounds/150 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (458 blocks/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (636 rebounds/68 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have allowed 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,354 rebounds/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.