Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (42-40) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (40-42)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Friday, April 14, 2023 at 9:30pm EDT
  • Watch the 8th Seed Play-In game on ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 48-34 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 41-42 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+5.5 -110O 228.5 -110+180
Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 -110U 228.5 -110-225

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 61.9% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+18.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 80 games (+16.97 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+21.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 89 games (+20.11 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.16 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+18.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 48-34 (+10.7 Units / 11.73% ROI).

  • 41-42 against the Moneyline (+15.1 Units / 13.11% ROI)
  • 46-36 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 7.01% ROI)
  • 36-46 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -15.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 41-42 (-5.2 Units / -5.69% ROI).

  • 42-41 against the Moneyline (-24.05 Units / -14.47% ROI)
  • 39-44 against the Over for game total points (-9.4 Units / -10.3% ROI)
  • 44-39 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.2% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 88 games (-43.37 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-31.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games at home (-28.10 Units / -74% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 70 games (-17.01 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 83 games (-25.92 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-23.08 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-16.50 Units / -19% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 1-38 (.026) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .242

The Thunder are 30-50 (.375) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Thunder are 31-107 (.225) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350

The Thunder are 27-50 (.351) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are 28-14 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Timberwolves are 14-6 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Timberwolves are 51-27 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Timberwolves are 33-57 (.367) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. ThunderFriday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid who last played (Mar. 29) will undergo surgery on his fractured left wrist and will be sidelined for six weeks, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
  • Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that McDaniels suffered fractures in his right hand and is out indefinitely.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski did not play in Wednesday’s (Apr. 12) game against New Orleans.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,611 assists/ 1,709 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (12,641 points/10,627 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder shot 34% from three (857/2,529) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.0 points per game (9,597 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.6

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (2,453 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.1 steals per game (668 steals/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (493 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,010 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,277 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9

The Timberwolves have 2,010 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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