Thunder vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

  • The Thunder are -16.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | MNMT

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Washington, D.C., DC, USA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Wizards Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 24-12 against the spread, while the Wizards are 13-21 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-16.5 -105O 231.5 -115-1600
Washington Wizards +16.5 -115U 231.5 -105+875

Wizards vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Wizards.

Wizards vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 83 games (+21.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 52 games (+16.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+10.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 away games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.38 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 77 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 24-12 (+10.8 Units / 25.84% ROI).

  • 31-7 against the Moneyline (+13.75 Units / 8.91% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -11.96% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 13-21 (-10.1 Units / -25.51% ROI).

  • 6-30 against the Moneyline (-15.35 Units / -42.64% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.85 Units / -4.67% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 80 games (-32.19 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 65 games (-30.95 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 80 games (-28.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 64 games (-25.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-20.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.43 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 73 games (-13.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 82 games (-12.13 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 52 games (-12.00 Units / -21% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Thunder are 14-3 (.824) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are undefeated (5-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Thunder are 18-5 (.783) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed 122.3 points per game this season — worst in the NBA.

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Wizards are 3-21 (.125) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Wizards are 14-78 (.152) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Wizards are winless (0-14) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder shot 39% from three (1,090/2,805) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (701/2,068) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.6 steals per game (430 steals/37 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have 430 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 9.3 steals per game (558 steals/60 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 16.5 second chance points per game (1,950 points/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (1,050 points/61 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 16.8 second chance points per game (605 points/36 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.