Timberwolves vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 24

  • The Timberwolves are -1.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | FDSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Kings Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 3-3 against the spread, while the Kings are 0-5 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-1.5 -105O 222.5 -115-115
Sacramento Kings +1.5 -115U 222.5 -105-105

Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Kings.

Kings vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 away games (+16.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 93 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Timberwolves have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-3.05 Units / -37.75% ROI)
  • 4-2 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 2-4 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Kings have gone 0-5 (-5.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-5 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games (-29.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 41 games at home (-23.20 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 58 games (-17.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 22 games (-16.65 Units / -66% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 74 games (-14.40 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-33.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 73 games (-26.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 93 games (-25.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 94 games (-22.30 Units / -21% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Timberwolves were 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three last season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 14-17 (.452) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Timberwolves were 17-13 (.567) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Kings were 17-13 (.567) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Kings are 0-13 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have allowed 111.2 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Kings vs. TimberwolvesThursday‘s Game, Oct. 24

  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported
  • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves blocked 444 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2


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