Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver, CO, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 30-34 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 32-32 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.72 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 60 of their last 99 games (+14.68 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.47 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+12.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+11.92 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-34 (-7.45 Units / -10.25% ROI).

  • 37-29 against the Moneyline (-14.4 Units / -8.56% ROI)
  • 36-30 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 30-36 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-32 (-3.2 Units / -4.48% ROI).

  • 42-23 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 2.5% ROI)
  • 38-27 against the Over for game total points (+8.3 Units / 11.61% ROI)
  • 27-38 against the Under for game total points (-14.8 Units / -20.7% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (-27.15 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (-25.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-24.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 87 games (-23.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-30.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 99 games (-23.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 76 games (-22.45 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 99 games (-20.65 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 away games (-19.65 Units / -36% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 29-6 (.829) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Timberwolves are 40-12 (.769) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Timberwolves were 21-2 (.913) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Timberwolves are 4-9 (.308) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

The Nuggets are 70-15 (.824) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Nuggets are 40-19 (.678) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets are 41-12 (.774) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .652

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (874 points/73 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.8 fast break points per game (1,888 points/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (382 points/32 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (698 points/65 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 61.0 points in the paint per game (2,074 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (225 assists/ 87 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (1,994 points/65 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 45% (2,808/6,309) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,407 rebounds/65 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (307 blocks/65 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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