- The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 206.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 46-43 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 42-47 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +4.5 -115 | O 206.5 -110 | +150 |
Denver Nuggets | -4.5 -105 | U 206.5 -110 | -185 |
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 away games (+17.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 78 games (+16.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 100 games (+18.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 99 games (+16.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 91 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 46-43 (-1.4 Units / -1.41% ROI).
- 62-28 against the Moneyline (+12.1 Units / 4.03% ROI)
- 47-43 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI)
- 43-47 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -8.79% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-47 (-9.7 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 63-28 against the Moneyline (+12.5 Units / 3.76% ROI)
- 37-52 against the Over for game total points (-20.2 Units / -20.17% ROI)
- 52-37 against the Under for game total points (+11.35 Units / 11.34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-30.55 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 97 games (-24.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-24.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (-19.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 96 games (-16.80 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games (-29.95 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.85 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 64 games (-24.85 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
Keys to the game – away
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
Keys to the game – home
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves – Tuesday‘s Game, May 14
- Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out For Season
- Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Timberwolves averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3
The Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets averaged 13.6 assists per game (1,114 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4
The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.6
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