Timberwolves vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

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Minnesota Timberwolves logo on the left and Detroit Pistons logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSD+ | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Pistons Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 20-18 against the spread, while the Pistons are 16-23 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-11.5 -115O 221.5 -105-700
Detroit Pistons +11.5 -105U 221.5 -115+500

Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Timberwolves and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 20-18 (+0.2 Units / 0.47% ROI).

  • 28-11 against the Moneyline (+14.85 Units / 15.26% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 16-23 (-9.2 Units / -20.96% ROI).

  • 4-36 against the Moneyline (-31.1 Units / -75.39% ROI)
  • 24-15 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 17.06% ROI)
  • 15-24 against the Under for game total points (-11.45 Units / -25.99% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 72 games (-54.75 Units / -72% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-25.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 71 games (-24.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 73 games (-23.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-21.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 54 games (-13.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 71 games (-10.85 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Timberwolves are 19-1 (.950) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Timberwolves are 21-5 (.808) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 122.6 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 4-58 (.065) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Pistons are 2-12 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Pistons are 8-73 (.099) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Pistons vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (479 assists/ 292 TOs) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,052 assists/ 643 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have averaged 16.1 turnovers per game (643 turnovers/40 games) this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,845 points/1,608 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (246 steals/40 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (513 blocks/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (390 steals/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.