Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 26

  • The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | BSN+

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Suns Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 42-41 against the spread, while the Suns are 35-47 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+4.5 -105O 208.5 -110+170
Phoenix Suns -4.5 -115U 208.5 -110-210

Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Suns.

Suns vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 away games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 69 games (+24.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-41 (-3.2 Units / -3.46% ROI).

  • 58-26 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 2.81% ROI)
  • 43-41 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)
  • 41-43 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -6.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-47 (-16.7 Units / -18.07% ROI).

  • 49-35 against the Moneyline (-10.65 Units / -5.09% ROI)
  • 37-46 against the Over for game total points (-13.65 Units / -14.76% ROI)
  • 46-37 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 5.74% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 83 games (-38.10 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 90 games (-36.55 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-22.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-20.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (-28.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are winless (0-4) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .116

The Timberwolves are 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Timberwolves are 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Timberwolves are 43-10 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 46-22 (.676) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Suns are 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Suns vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Apr. 26

  • Eric Gordon (Phoenix Suns): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Timberwolves averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (1,258 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (923 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (469 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.