Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -2.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 22-23 against the spread, while the Thunder are 30-15 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+2.5 -110O 224.5 -110+115
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 -110U 224.5 -110-140

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Timberwolves and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 46 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI).

  • 32-14 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 1.7% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.15 Units / -2.28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 30-15 (+13.5 Units / 26.73% ROI).

  • 32-14 against the Moneyline (+10.85 Units / 9.7% ROI)
  • 25-20 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 5.93% ROI)
  • 20-25 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -14.82% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 38 games at home (-20.15 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-14.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 81 games (-12.40 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 75 games (-11.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-24.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 11 games (-13.65 Units / -83% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 61 games (-13.10 Units / -19% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .175

The Timberwolves are 28-9 (.757) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Timberwolves are 14-6 (.700) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .175

The Thunder are 23-8 (.742) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 20-13 (.606) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

Injury Report: Thunder vs. TimberwolvesMonday‘s Game, Jan. 29

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,214 assists/ 698 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (2,805/5,704) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves shot 50% (1,763/3,553) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (310/751) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (311/776) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,682 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (454 rebounds/46 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (385 steals/46 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have allowed 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (896 rebounds/46 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder have allowed 18.6 offensive rebounds per game (2,379 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.