Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 22

  • The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ESNW

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 46-45 against the spread, while the Thunder are 58-33 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+8.5 -115O 217.5 -115+260
Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 -105U 217.5 -105-325

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games (+24.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 64 games (+18.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+14.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 58 of their last 95 games (+21.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 80 games (+21.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 46-45 (-3.55 Units / -3.47% ROI).

  • 57-36 against the Moneyline (-14.2 Units / -4.19% ROI)
  • 49-44 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.59% ROI)
  • 44-49 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -9.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 58-33 (+21.7 Units / 20.77% ROI).

  • 77-18 against the Moneyline (+19.2 Units / 3.71% ROI)
  • 51-43 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 43-51 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -12.54% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 86 games (-19.96 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-19.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-18.83 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-18.65 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-23.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-21.57 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 96 games (-20.70 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-18.67 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 away games (-16.30 Units / -34% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves are 47-22 (.681) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are 64-25 (.719) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 64-25 (.719) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 95-27 (.779) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 81-11 (.880) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have made 15.0 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.30 points per shot (9,372 points/7,182 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (902 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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