- The Heat are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | KUNP | KATU
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL, USA.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Trail Blazers vs Heat Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 21-20 against the spread, while the Heat are 18-23 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Portland Trail Blazers | +10.5 -115 | O 218.5 -105 | +375 |
| Miami Heat | -10.5 -105 | U 218.5 -115 | -500 |
Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Heat.
Heat vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+21.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 42 of their last 68 games (+15.47 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 83 games (+9.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 21-20 (-1.05 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- 14-28 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 12.57% ROI)
- 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.71% ROI)
- 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -2.16% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 18-23 (-7.3 Units / -16.19% ROI).
- 21-20 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.83% ROI)
- 23-18 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 7.1% ROI)
- 18-23 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -16.19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.03 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-20.75 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.45 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-16.10 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-15.70 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 79 games (-33.05 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 72 games (-26.27 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 83 games (-21.68 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 39 away games (-18.45 Units / -40% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Miami Heat
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Trail Blazers are 1-14 (.067) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Trail Blazers are 4-33 (.108) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .310
The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat are 18-10 (.643) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Heat are 2-11 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .293
The Heat are 5-12 (.294) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (976 assists/ 694 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (208 points/41 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,033 rebounds/124 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,365 rebounds/42 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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