Trail Blazers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 23

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 24, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Rockets are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on KATU | SCHN

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 9-6 against the spread, while the Rockets are 12-5 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 64.9% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 46 games (+20.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.89 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+19.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 42 games (+16.48 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.34 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 13.68% ROI).

  • 6-10 against the Moneyline (+4.25 Units / 26.23% ROI)
  • 6-9 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI)
  • 9-6 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 12-5 (+6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI).

  • 12-5 against the Moneyline (+4.85 Units / 12.58% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-15.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 85 games (-15.10 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 43 games at home (-15.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 85 games (-13.77 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-13.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 74 games (-31.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-27.50 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 78 games (-19.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 36 away games (-18.15 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-18.00 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Trail Blazers are 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers were 8-33 (.195) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Trail Blazers were 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Rockets are 7-54 (.115) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .331

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 2-21 (.087) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Rockets are 20-10 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,863/4,242) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (381 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have averaged 1.05 points per shot (194 points/184 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Rockets have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (175 points/17 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Rockets have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,191 rebounds/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (103 blocks/16 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (457 blocks/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (651 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 46% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.