Trail Blazers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Spurs are -2.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSSW | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Spurs Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 21-23 against the spread, while the Spurs are 21-23 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+3.5 -110O 229.5 -110+140
San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -110U 229.5 -110-165

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Trail Blazers and Spurs, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 away games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 away games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 66 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 21-23 (-4.2 Units / -8.72% ROI).

  • 13-31 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 3.74% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -13.21% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Under for game total points (+2.05 Units / 4.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 21-23 (-4.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 8-36 against the Moneyline (-22.75 Units / -50.11% ROI)
  • 26-17 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 15.08% ROI)
  • 17-26 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -23.97% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 39 games (-28.05 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 77 games (-24.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 49 games (-22.05 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-22.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 61 games (-16.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 78 games (-16.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 43 games (-16.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 69 games (-16.05 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

The Trail Blazers are 8-17 (.320) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Trail Blazers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Trail Blazers were 4-15 (.211) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Spurs were 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Spurs vs. Trail BlazersFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Deandre Ayton (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers): Concussion, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ish Wainright (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,734/3,975) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 43% (842/1,944) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (567 assists/ 395 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (6,950 points/5,630 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (272/846) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,410 rebounds/44 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (42/182) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 52% (998/1,920) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (260 blocks/44 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%


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