- The Grizzlies are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | FDSM
The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 15-10 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 18-9 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Memphis Grizzlies | U |
Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 76 games (+18.03 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+15.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 away games (+8.59 Units / 12% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 73 games (+21.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (+16.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 15-10 (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 14-11 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -10.04% ROI)
- 12-13 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI)
- 13-12 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 18-9 (+8.1 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 18-9 against the Moneyline (+2.8 Units / 4.6% ROI)
- 17-10 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 20.2% ROI)
- 10-17 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.37 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.87 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-17.67 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 60 games (-15.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 67 games (-14.65 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 65 games (-16.90 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-16.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.90 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 56 games (-15.85 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Warriors are 35-6 (.854) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Warriors are 18-7 (.720) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .610
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Grizzlies were 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Grizzlies were 9-24 (.273) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (366/521) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors are shooting 41% (140/344) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have averaged 1.14 points per shot (392 points/344 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (940 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Warriors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (227 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (355 blocks/53 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (165/538) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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