- The Warriors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Heat Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 37-32 against the spread, while the Heat are 34-36 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | -2.5 -115 | O 218.5 -115 | -155 |
Miami Heat | +2.5 -105 | U 218.5 -105 | +125 |
Heat vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Heat.
Heat vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 away games (+17.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 80 games (+23.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 95 games (+19.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+18.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 37-32 (+1.8 Units / 2.34% ROI).
- 36-34 against the Moneyline (-14.65 Units / -10.1% ROI)
- 36-34 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)
- 34-36 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 34-36 (-5.6 Units / -7.17% ROI).
- 39-32 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -1.6% ROI)
- 26-45 against the Over for game total points (-23.5 Units / -30.09% ROI)
- 45-26 against the Under for game total points (+16.4 Units / 21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-32.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 80 games (-31.30 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.75 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.00 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 78 games (-19.05 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 90 games (-14.60 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-14.35 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
Keys to the game – away
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
Keys to the game – home
Injury Report: Heat vs. Warriors – Tuesday‘s Game, Mar. 26
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
Home Team Offense Stories
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
Away Team Defense Stories
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
Home Team Defense Stories
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