Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Jazz Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 26-23 against the spread, while the Jazz are 31-22 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-1.5 -105O 240.5 -110-115
Utah Jazz +1.5 -115U 240.5 -110-105

Jazz vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Jazz.

Jazz vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+18.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 77 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+17.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 26-23 (+0.7 Units / 1.27% ROI).

  • 25-25 against the Moneyline (-4.6 Units / -4.91% ROI)
  • 28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.92% ROI)
  • 22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.85 Units / -16.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-22 (+6.7 Units / 11.48% ROI).

  • 26-27 against the Moneyline (+7.65 Units / 11.32% ROI)
  • 30-22 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 9.93% ROI)
  • 22-30 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -18.73% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 71 games (-27.70 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 72 games (-23.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-19.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 77 games (-18.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 89 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-19.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 63 games (-18.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-14.85 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors were 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Warriors were 26-6 (.812) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .393

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz were 4-11 (.267) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Jazz vs. WarriorsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • Utah Jazz – No Injuries Reported
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Hamstring, Out
  • Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Game Time Decision

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 29.2 assists per game (1,196 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (469 points/53 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (839 turnovers/53 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (413 turnovers/53 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz are shooting 41% from three (82/200) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,831 rebounds/50 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (207 blocks/50 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (254 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,978 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,934 rebounds/53 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (1,394 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Jazz have averaged 6.3 steals per game (853 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.