Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Warriors vs Jazz Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 27-24 against the spread, while the Jazz are 31-24 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-1.5 -115O 239.5 -105-130
Utah Jazz +1.5 -105U 239.5 -115+105

Jazz vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Jazz.

Jazz vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 away games (+19.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+16.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 68 games (+15.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+15.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 27-24 (+0.6 Units / 1.05% ROI).

  • 26-26 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -5.35% ROI)
  • 29-23 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.47% ROI)
  • 23-29 against the Under for game total points (-8.95 Units / -15.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-24 (+4.5 Units / 7.43% ROI).

  • 26-29 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 6.81% ROI)
  • 31-23 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 9.41% ROI)
  • 23-31 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -18.21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-25.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 74 games (-23.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 78 games (-22.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-19.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 47 games (-21.60 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-19.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-18.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 65 games (-15.15 Units / -19% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Warriors are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Jazz are 10-21 (.323) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Jazz are 11-17 (.393) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Injury Report: Jazz vs. WarriorsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Utah Jazz – No Injuries Reported
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (857 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (2,116 turnovers/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,869 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 18.0 fast break points per game (973 points/54 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have averaged 6.3 steals per game (861 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (1,394 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.