Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Jazz are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 19-21 against the spread, while the Jazz are 26-16 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Jazz, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Jazz vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+16.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+22.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+18.50 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 19-21 (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI).

  • 18-22 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -11.51% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.56% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Under for game total points (-10.45 Units / -23.72% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 26-16 (+8.4 Units / 18.2% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (+11.35 Units / 22.7% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -11.16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-26.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 61 games (-17.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-16.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-15.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 89 games (-25.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 games (-25.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-24.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 53 games (-22.05 Units / -38% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors are 14-20 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Warriors were 17-7 (.708) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Warriors are 10-12 (.455) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Warriors were 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are 7-3 (.700) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Jazz were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Jazz are 7-8 (.467) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Jazz are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .087

Injury Report: Jazz vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Lauri Markkanen (Utah Jazz): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Kelly Olynyk (Utah Jazz): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Jordan Clarkson (Utah Jazz): Thigh, Game Time Decision
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (212 points/40 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (337 turnovers/42 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 16.1 turnovers per game (678 turnovers/42 games) this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Jazz averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,302 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz averaged 26.0 assists per game (2,129 assists/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (469 blocks/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (146 blocks/40 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.6 steals per game (262 steals/40 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (231 blocks/63 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/42 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,978 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have averaged 7.1 steals per game (298 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have averaged 6.4 steals per game (798 steals/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.