- The Mavericks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | WFAA
The Golden State Warriors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Mavericks Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 35-28 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 35-30 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +7.5 -115 | O 232.5 -105 | +230 |
Dallas Mavericks | -7.5 -105 | U 232.5 -115 | -300 |
Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-28 (+4.2 Units / 5.97% ROI).
- 34-30 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -7.95% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 35-30 (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI).
- 37-28 against the Moneyline (-1.15 Units / -0.92% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 75 games (-34.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-26.00 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 58 games (-18.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 38 games (-16.75 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 51 games (-16.40 Units / -28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.65 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.45 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 90 games (-18.80 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (-14.90 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 90 games (-14.40 Units / -10% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Warriors are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780
The Warriors are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675
The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580
The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631
The Mavericks were 13-24 (.351) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Warriors – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
The Mavericks have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (6,004 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.6
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (357 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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