Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | WFAA

The Golden State Warriors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Mavericks Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 35-28 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 35-30 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+7.5 -115O 232.5 -105+230
Dallas Mavericks -7.5 -105U 232.5 -115-300

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-28 (+4.2 Units / 5.97% ROI).

  • 34-30 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -7.95% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 35-30 (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 37-28 against the Moneyline (-1.15 Units / -0.92% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 75 games (-34.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-26.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 58 games (-18.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 38 games (-16.75 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 51 games (-16.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 90 games (-18.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (-14.90 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 90 games (-14.40 Units / -10% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Warriors are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Warriors are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Mavericks were 13-24 (.351) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (6,004 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (357 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Mavericks vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.