Warriors vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 250.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Pacers Over/Under is 249.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 24-23 against the spread, while the Pacers are 28-22 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+5.5 -110O 249.5 -110+180
Indiana Pacers -5.5 -110U 249.5 -110-225

Pacers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Pacers.

Pacers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 away games (+17.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+16.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+15.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 24-23 (-1.3 Units / -2.46% ROI).

  • 23-25 against the Moneyline (-7.35 Units / -8.02% ROI)
  • 28-20 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 11.37% ROI)
  • 20-28 against the Under for game total points (-10.85 Units / -20.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 28-22 (+3.8 Units / 6.52% ROI).

  • 29-24 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • 30-21 against the Over for game total points (+6.85 Units / 11.73% ROI)
  • 21-30 against the Under for game total points (-11.95 Units / -20.53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 76 games (-27.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 42 games (-23.95 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-22.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 37 games at home (-19.65 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 89 games (-27.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-24.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (-17.80 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 43 games (-17.45 Units / -37% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Warriors are 12-2 (.857) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are 14-20 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors are 11-30 (.268) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have made 13.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pacers are 2-10 (.167) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Pacers are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers are 14-7 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Pacers were 14-29 (.326) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Injury Report: Pacers vs. WarriorsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 8

  • Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Hamstring, Out
  • Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Game Time Decision

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (271 points/48 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 30.6 assists per game (766 assists/25 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,606 assists/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Pacers have averaged 14.6 assists per game (758 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,750 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (521 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,709 rebounds/52 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 59.4 points in the paint per game (3,088 points/52 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.