- The Pistons are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | FDDT | WMYD
The Golden State Warriors visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Pistons Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 18-18 against the spread, while the Pistons are 20-16 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 -105 | O 219.5 -110 | +105 |
| Detroit Pistons | -1.5 -115 | U 219.5 -110 | -130 |
Pistons vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Pistons.
Pistons vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.2% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+14.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+13.23 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+21.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 70 games (+18.93 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.64 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+11.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-18 (-1.9 Units / -4.79% ROI).
- 18-18 against the Moneyline (-13.25 Units / -18.26% ROI)
- 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
- 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 20-16 (+2.4 Units / 5.9% ROI).
- 19-18 against the Moneyline (+7.75 Units / 16.11% ROI)
- 19-16 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.44% ROI)
- 16-19 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.04% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-29.95 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 67 games (-20.50 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-15.72 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.30 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 69 games (-14.55 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 61 games (-22.16 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.05 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.55 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Warriors are 14-10 (.583) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Warriors are 3-5 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Warriors are 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Pistons are 19-102 (.157) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons are 18-57 (.240) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (516/725) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,871 free throw attempts/8,511 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
The Warriors are shooting 43% (720/1,690) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Pistons shot 35% from three (906/2,602) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,575 assists/ 962 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Pistons have averaged 54.5 points per game (10,307 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.5
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 320 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (320 steals/36 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have blocked 195 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 6.7 steals per game (803 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pistons have averaged 6.7 steals per game (380 steals/57 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,262 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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