- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 42-39 against the spread, while the Rockets are 43-39 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
Bet now on Rockets vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 away games (+9.79 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 26 games (+17.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (+15.97 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.73 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 42-39 (-1 Units / -1.09% ROI).
- 49-34 against the Moneyline (-23.2 Units / -9.53% ROI)
- 42-41 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -3.4% ROI)
- 41-42 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -5.7% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-39 (+0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI).
- 52-30 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -1.51% ROI)
- 44-37 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 3.65% ROI)
- 37-44 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -12.54% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games at home (-19.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 49 games (-16.50 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.25 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-45.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 68 games (-31.45 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 66 games (-18.45 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.17 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 42-27 (.609) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Warriors are 44-4 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Warriors are 10-1 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
The Rockets are 10-30 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 50-30 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Rockets are 18-3 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors have averaged 44.9 points in the paint per game (3,682 points/82 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Warriors averaged 15.7 second chance points per game (1,284 points/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 771 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (397 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,931 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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