- The Rockets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | NSBA | TNT
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 14-9 against the spread, while the Rockets are 16-8 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 -105 | O 223.5 -110 | +105 |
| Houston Rockets | -1.5 -115 | U 223.5 -110 | -130 |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 away games (+16.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+16.03 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+10.79 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+22.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.68 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 14-9 (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI).
- 14-9 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -6.56% ROI)
- 11-12 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI)
- 12-11 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-8 (+7.2 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 16-8 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -1.39% ROI)
- 12-11 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI)
- 11-12 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -7.98% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 86 games (-16.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-16.10 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.05 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-15.75 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 43 games at home (-15.10 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-16.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-16.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 84 games (-15.85 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-15.75 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 54 games (-15.65 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Warriors are 14-9 (.609) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351
The Rockets are 3-23 (.115) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-best in the NBA.
The Rockets are 13-3 (.812) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586
The Rockets are 6-3 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (354/501) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors are shooting 40% (122/305) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have averaged 1.13 points per shot (345 points/305 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (29/122) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (3,689 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4
The Rockets are shooting 33% from three (1,053/3,217) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,225 points/1,036 shots) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.26
The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (296/887) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 45% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
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