- The Rockets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX, USA.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 27-27 against the spread, while the Rockets are 29-25 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +6.5 -110 | O 216.5 -105 | +200 |
| Houston Rockets | -6.5 -110 | U 216.5 -115 | -250 |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 79.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 80 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.83 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 27-27 (-2.8 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 27-27 against the Moneyline (-14.8 Units / -13.2% ROI)
- 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI).
- 34-20 against the Moneyline (-8.2 Units / -6.37% ROI)
- 28-25 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI)
- 25-28 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -9.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-20.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.22 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-18.30 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games at home (-17.65 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.05 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-33.11 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.85 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 39 games (-23.05 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 55 games (-22.00 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-21.70 Units / -41% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755
The Warriors are 20-12 (.625) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Warriors are 34-4 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .825
The Warriors are 11-7 (.611) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 7-25 (.219) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 7-55 (.113) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Rockets are 10-1 (.909) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707
The Rockets are 19-5 (.792) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 73% from the free throw line (817/1,123) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (1,162 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,871 free throw attempts/8,511 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,223 rebounds/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets are shooting 28% from three (74/267) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 18.2 second chance points per game (456 points/25 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 472 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,959 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (285 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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