Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSSW | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Spurs Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 34-28 against the spread, while the Spurs are 32-32 against the spread.


Bet now on Spurs vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-5.5 -110O 227.5 -115-210
San Antonio Spurs +5.5 -110U 227.5 -105+170

Spurs vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Spurs.

Spurs vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


Bet now on Spurs vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 away games (+20.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 56 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+19.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+15.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 34-28 (+3.2 Units / 4.61% ROI).

  • 33-30 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -8.72% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.25 Units / -6.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 32-32 (-3.1 Units / -4.41% ROI).

  • 14-50 against the Moneyline (-18.7 Units / -27.93% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.15 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 59 games (-24.00 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-21.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 66 games (-17.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 73 games (-13.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-19.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-16.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 71 games (-15.75 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 91 games (-15.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 76 games (-13.75 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors are 20-4 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are 14-20 (.412) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Warriors are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 47-14 (.770) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — worst in the NBA.

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 4-32 (.111) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 55.3 rebounds/game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Spurs were winless (0-35) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Injury Report: Spurs vs. WarriorsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs have averaged 1.24 points per shot (7,501 points/6,050 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 6.6 steals per game (338 steals/51 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (254 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%


Bet now on Spurs vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.