Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 14

  • The Timberwolves are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 202.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | tru | Max

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 202.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 47-45 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 45-44 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+10.5 -110O 202.5 -105+375
Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 -110U 202.5 -115-500

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+14.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.51 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.99 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 62 games (+26.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 62 games (+20.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+13.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 47-45 (-2.6 Units / -2.51% ROI).

  • 54-40 against the Moneyline (-24.45 Units / -9.52% ROI)
  • 47-47 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 47-47 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 45-44 (-3.45 Units / -3.44% ROI).

  • 56-35 against the Moneyline (-14.2 Units / -4.25% ROI)
  • 48-43 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.7% ROI)
  • 43-48 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -9.79% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 94 games (-23.50 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games at home (-23.40 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 48 games at home (-21.72 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 95 games (-21.42 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-46.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 79 games (-32.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-25.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.42 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-21.40 Units / -17% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 23-6 (.793) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Warriors are 46-32 (.590) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Warriors are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves were 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Timberwolves were 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Timberwolves are 44-25 (.638) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Timberwolves are 89-48 (.650) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Warriors averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Warriors have averaged 17.3 second chance points per game (711 points/41 games) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Timberwolves averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (492 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.6 fast break points per game (1,112 points/82 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,906 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,343 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Warriors have averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,198/7,114) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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