Warriors vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Wizards Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 30-25 against the spread, while the Wizards are 27-29 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-10.5 -110O 243.5 -105-600
Washington Wizards +10.5 -110U 243.5 -115+425

Wizards vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 88.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Wizards.

Wizards vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 away games (+21.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 away games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 67 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 30-25 (+2.5 Units / 4.06% ROI).

  • 29-27 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -3.14% ROI)
  • 30-26 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)
  • 26-30 against the Under for game total points (-7.05 Units / -11.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 27-29 (-4.85 Units / -7.74% ROI).

  • 9-48 against the Moneyline (-34.95 Units / -59.39% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -7.96% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 77 games (-41.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 62 games (-20.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-19.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 90 games (-18.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 69 games (-18.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 51 games (-17.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 90 games (-13.85 Units / -14% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Warriors are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Warriors are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 2-11 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Warriors are 6-12 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Wizards are 12-53 (.185) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Injury Report: Wizards vs. WarriorsTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 27

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 55.7 points in the paint per game (2,950 points/53 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.7

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (534 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/53 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.