- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on MNMT | SUN
The Washington Wizards visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Wizards vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 33-46 against the spread, while the Heat are 39-41 against the spread.
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Wizards vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Washington Wizards | O | ||
Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Heat.
Heat vs Wizards Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.
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Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 away games (+14.45 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 games (+23.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+21.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 33-46 (-17.55 Units / -19.71% ROI).
- 17-64 against the Moneyline (-17.1 Units / -20.68% ROI)
- 41-40 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -3.37% ROI)
- 40-41 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -5.78% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 39-41 (-6.1 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 37-44 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -8.82% ROI)
- 43-38 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.35% ROI)
- 38-43 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -10.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.08 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 60 games (-20.27 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 43 games (-18.70 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.95 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-16.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 68 games (-24.67 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.35 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 68 games (-22.08 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-20.95 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.40 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards are 11-82 (.118) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Wizards are 13-43 (.232) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Wizards are 6-23 (.207) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352
The Heat are 7-16 (.304) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat are 37-4 (.902) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (998/2,950) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,181 points/992 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Heat averaged 47.2 points in the paint per game (3,870 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have allowed 17.3 second chance points per game (693 points/40 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards have allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (2,677 points/163 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards allowed 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,778 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (286 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/81 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (588 blocks/163 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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