Wizards vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Jazz are -5.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Jazz Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 28-31 against the spread, while the Jazz are 33-28 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+5.5 -115O 241.5 -110+170
Utah Jazz -5.5 -105U 241.5 -110-210

Jazz vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Monday‘s game with 74.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Jazz.

Jazz vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 28-31 (-6.05 Units / -9.17% ROI).

  • 9-51 against the Moneyline (-37.95 Units / -61.36% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.2% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 33-28 (+2.1 Units / 3.13% ROI).

  • 27-34 against the Moneyline (-2.4 Units / -2.96% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 4.91% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -13.73% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-20.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 72 games (-20.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-19.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 61 games (-16.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 80 games (-44.15 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 65 games (-23.15 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 65 games (-21.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 53 games (-18.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 80 games (-15.80 Units / -19% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-28) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: Jazz vs. WizardsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 17.5 fast break points per game (928 points/53 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (857 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz are shooting 41% from three (82/200) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Jazz have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (2,204 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 8.8 second chance points per game (464 points/53 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Wizards have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/53 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,971 rebounds/54 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Jazz have allowed 22.0 fast break points per game (637 points/29 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.