Wizards vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -15.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 26-27 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 22-31 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+15.5 -115O 232.5 -110+800
Denver Nuggets -15.5 -105U 232.5 -110-1400

Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 95.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 48 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 98 games (+26.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 88 games (+23.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 76 games (+18.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 26-27 (-3.7 Units / -6.23% ROI).

  • 9-45 against the Moneyline (-31.95 Units / -57.21% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -9.92% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-31 (-12.2 Units / -20.07% ROI).

  • 36-19 against the Moneyline (+6.85 Units / 3.89% ROI)
  • 19-35 against the Over for game total points (-19.5 Units / -32.26% ROI)
  • 35-19 against the Under for game total points (+14.1 Units / 23.31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 98 games (-37.10 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-31.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-28.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 68 games (-23.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 94 games (-22.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 74 games (-38.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 59 games (-20.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-19.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 59 games (-18.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 47 games (-17.90 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Wizards are 4-43 (.085) when allowing 110 or more points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

The Wizards are 12-53 (.185) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 22-2 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 13-4 (.765) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Nuggets are 31-7 (.816) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed 123.9 points per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. WizardsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Denver Nuggets): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards are shooting 33% from three (290/871) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Wizards have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (602 points/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (762 assists/ 305 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/53 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have forced 12.1 turnovers per game (656 turnovers/54 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Nuggets have allowed an eFG% of 54% this season — 6th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.