Wizards vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 15

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | ALT

The Washington Wizards visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 28-35 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 32-34 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+15.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+14.10 Units / 141% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 31 games at home (+18.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.72 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 28-35 (-10.45 Units / -14.63% ROI).

  • 14-51 against the Moneyline (-15.95 Units / -24.17% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.35 Units / -6.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-34 (-5.4 Units / -7.33% ROI).

  • 43-24 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 2.22% ROI)
  • 39-28 against the Over for game total points (+8.2 Units / 11.13% ROI)
  • 28-39 against the Under for game total points (-14.9 Units / -20.22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-30.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 games (-27.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 65 games (-27.15 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-25.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-19.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 52 games (-16.02 Units / -27% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Wizards are 12-78 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Wizards are 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Nuggets are 32-5 (.865) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 1.23 points per shot (8,148 points/6,609 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (413/1,283) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 61.0 points in the paint per game (2,074 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5

The Nuggets have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,024 points/66 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

The Nuggets have averaged 19.8 fast break points per game (1,310 points/66 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (225 assists/ 87 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,333 rebounds/147 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Wizards have allowed 56.3 points in the paint per game (4,110 points/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (311 blocks/66 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,437 rebounds/66 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4


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