- The Nuggets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
- Watch the game on MNMT | ALT
The Washington Wizards visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Wizards vs Nuggets Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 28-35 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 32-34 against the spread.
Bet now on Nuggets vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM
Wizards vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Washington Wizards | +11.5 -105 | O 240.5 -110 | +500 |
| Denver Nuggets | -11.5 -115 | U 240.5 -110 | -700 |
Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Wizards Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
Bet now on Nuggets vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+15.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+14.10 Units / 141% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 31 games at home (+18.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.72 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 28-35 (-10.45 Units / -14.63% ROI).
- 14-51 against the Moneyline (-15.95 Units / -24.17% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.35 Units / -6.08% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-34 (-5.4 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 43-24 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 2.22% ROI)
- 39-28 against the Over for game total points (+8.2 Units / 11.13% ROI)
- 28-39 against the Under for game total points (-14.9 Units / -20.22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-30.30 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 games (-27.45 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 65 games (-27.15 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-25.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.90 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-19.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 52 games (-16.02 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards are winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390
The Wizards are 12-78 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Wizards are 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Nuggets are 32-5 (.865) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Wizards have averaged 1.23 points per shot (8,148 points/6,609 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (413/1,283) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 61.0 points in the paint per game (2,074 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5
The Nuggets have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,024 points/66 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
The Nuggets have averaged 19.8 fast break points per game (1,310 points/66 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (225 assists/ 87 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,333 rebounds/147 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
The Wizards have allowed 56.3 points in the paint per game (4,110 points/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (311 blocks/66 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,437 rebounds/66 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Bet now on Nuggets vs Wizards and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
