Wizards vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

  • The Pelicans are -6.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | GCSE

The Washington Wizards visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 12-17 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 12-22 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 79.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.6% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 72 games (+14.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 57 games (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.48 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -19.65% ROI).

  • 6-25 against the Moneyline (-10.35 Units / -33.39% ROI)
  • 16-15 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
  • 15-16 against the Under for game total points (-2.65 Units / -7.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 12-22 (-12.2 Units / -32.62% ROI).

  • 5-29 against the Moneyline (-25.3 Units / -65.8% ROI)
  • 19-14 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.63% ROI)
  • 14-19 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -18.45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 49 games (-35.60 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 80 games (-28.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.57 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 19 of their last 54 games (-19.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-29.34 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 60 games (-26.95 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 81 games (-25.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 59 games (-23.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.65 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Wizards are 5-54 (.085) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 10-61 (.141) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Wizards are 14-78 (.152) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pelicans are 1-5 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 4-22 (.154) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Pelicans are 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .282

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 48% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have made 11.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Pelicans have a TS% of 46% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (1,012 points/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards allowed 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,778 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.2 steals per game (535 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Pelicans have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,098 rebounds/34 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.